The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 15-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 14-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Cardinals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 13-12 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 5.55% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 9.25% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 11.01% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 14-10 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 22.78% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 21.7% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -32.06% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 22.33% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed an OBP of just .211 (346 PA’s) against right-handed batters last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (295/1,579) against Miles Mikolas last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 21% (172/828) against Miles Mikolas last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (102/627) against Miles Mikolas last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.