The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 67-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-75 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 14-9, 3.60 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 5-6, 3.69 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 45 games (+36.15 Units / 80% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+16.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+16.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 48 games (+14.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 38 games (+19.20 Units / 51% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 away games (+14.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.25 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 away games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 127 games (+36.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-73 against the Run Line (-16.5 Units / -8.61% ROI).

• 67-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -8.83% ROI
• 74-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 2.23% ROI
• 64-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -11.46% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-75 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -7.17% ROI).

• 77-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -8.7% ROI
• 51-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.5 Units / -26.97% ROI
• 85-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.65 Units / 18.31% ROI

Braves vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .326 (29-for-89) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (109/546) against Jose Berrios this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (314/539) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (244/1,184) against Jose Berrios this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 101 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 105.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 69% (1,000/1,448) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Spencer Schwellenbach’s pitches (769/1,448) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 77% (219/283) of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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