The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 67-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 65-75 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 12-10, 4.09 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 8-8, 3.51 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 44 games (+37.15 Units / 84% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+17.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+15.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 44 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 37 games (+20.20 Units / 55% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+15.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 51 away games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 71 away games (+3.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 126 games (+35.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-72 against the Run Line (-15 Units / -7.89% ROI).

• 67-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -8.3% ROI
• 74-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 2.96% ROI
• 63-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -12.19% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 65-75 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -7.97% ROI).

• 76-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.95 Units / -9.2% ROI
• 51-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -40.4 Units / -26.44% ROI
• 84-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.65 Units / 17.79% ROI

Braves vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,056/1,395) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 76% (3,320/4,379) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.27 (51.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.68 — third Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 28% (142 SO in 513 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .188 (12-for-64) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (90/151) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (541/1,107) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (229/396) against Max Fried this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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