The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Blue Jays vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 9-9 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+10.55 Units / 88% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 13 games (+13.10 Units / 78% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+11.55 Units / 89% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.90 Units / 99% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 9-9 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -6.55% ROI).

• 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 7.18% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.54% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -10.92% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 9-9 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -7.34% ROI).

• 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -29.27% ROI
• 12-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 27.14% ROI
• 6-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -36.04% ROI

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has an ERA of 6.87 (90.1 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 4.05 — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown inside pitches 36% of the time (303/847) with two-strikes since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 90th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (924/2,958) since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 87th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (19/32) against Jose Berrios in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Garcia has allowed a slugging percentage of .855 (65 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.

Luis Garcia has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 33% (9/27) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Luis Garcia has thrown his cutter 52% of the time (37/71) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CUT; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

  
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