The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 9-8 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.25 Units / 84% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 12 games (+12.10 Units / 82% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.40 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-9 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -13.69% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.65% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 7.61% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -16.8% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 9-8 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.23% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -26.54% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 34.57% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -43.55% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (100/564) against Chris Bassitt since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has walked 7 of 39 right-handed batters (18%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of 1.280 (31 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .706 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (9/70) against Chris Bassitt this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 35% (147 SO in 416 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (201/549) against Jose Urquidy since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has had second base stolen on him 4 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.