The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Blue Jays vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 8-8 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 82% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+8.80 Units / 176% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.50 Units / 142% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+11.40 Units / 104% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 84% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -9.7% ROI).

• 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 8.65% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.31% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -11.7% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -5.11% ROI).

• 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -31.15% ROI
• 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 31.07% ROI
• 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -40% ROI

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .024 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .049 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .512 — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 76% (110/145) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .024 (1-for-41) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .176 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cristian Javier has had second base stolen on him 6 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (30/130) against Cristian Javier on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (111/289) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article