The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 8-8 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+8.80 Units / 176% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.50 Units / 142% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+11.40 Units / 104% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Abreu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
George Springer | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
George Springer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Abreu | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
George Springer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gausman | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Cristian Javier | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -9.7% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 8.65% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.31% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -11.7% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -31.15% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 31.07% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -40% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .024 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .049 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .512 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 76% (110/145) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .024 (1-for-41) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .176 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has had second base stolen on him 6 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (30/130) against Cristian Javier on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (111/289) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.