It's hard to believe we had to wait until Week 13 to get our first Bills vs Patriots matchup. The AFC East showdown takes place in Foxboro, where the Bills are currently -4.5 road favorites. New England will likely be without RB Damien Harris and OL Isaiah Wynn Thursday night. Divisional games will be important for Buffalo as they play the New York Jets (7-4) in Week 14 and Miami Dolphins (8-3) in Week 15; only 1 game separates the 3 teams. New England (6-5) has been tough to peg down this season. They've looked dominant at time defensively against Det roit and Indianapolis but have had head scratching moments against the Bears and Jets offensively. I'm curious what version we get Thursday night. Fortunately for us, we will not get a repeat of the Week 13 2021 Monday Night Football blizzard game we saw last year. Weather is expected to be 43 and clear skies.
Josh Allen Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
This line is 44.5 on every other book, so loved seeing it open at 42.5 on FD. In researching Allen's rushing totals/attempts, I found a pretty glaring trend staring me right in the face: he's rushed 8+ times in every game on the road this season. In those 6 road games, he's hit this number in 5/6. As mentioned in the opener, this game matters for Buffalo. A divisional win will help any tie breakers with Miami should it be necessary. As far as the matchup, Allen has been active in the run game vs New Engaldn for his career. He's hit this number in 2 straight games vs Belichick and 2/4 in Foxboro for his career. Over the last 2 seasons, Allen has averaged 49 rushing YPG and 7 rush attempts per game in the month of December. The Patriots have not faced many mobile QB's this season, but the one they have had a lot of success: Lamar Jackson 11-107, Justin Fields 14-82. Even Sam Ehlinger pulled off 5 rushes for 39 yards.' 1U and play up to the 44.5.