Bills vs. Chiefs best bets, picks and props | Divisional Round
Bills vs. Chiefs best bets, picks and props | Divisional Round

Check out best bets for when the Buffalo Bills (11-6) and Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) clash in the AFC Divisional round at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, January 21, 2024.

How to watch Bills vs. Chiefs

  • When: Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 6:30 PM ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
  • TV Info: CBS
  • Live Stream: Watch on Fubo!

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Best against the spread pick

  • Pick ATS: Buffalo (-2.5)
  • Buffalo covered seven times in 17 matchups with a spread in the regular season, and in the playoffs they are 1-0-0 ATS.
  • The Bills have an ATS record of 6-8 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season (regular season and playoffs).
  • Kansas City put together a 10-7-0 ATS record in the regular season, and is 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
  • The Chiefs have covered every time (1-0) as 2.5-point underdogs or greater in the regular season and playoffs.

Best over/under pick

  • The Chiefs have combined with their opponent to score more than 45.5 points in five of 17 games this season, including the regular season and postseason.
  • The two teams combined to score 48.3 points per game in the regular season, 2.8 more points than this matchup’s total.
  • These teams gave up a combined 35.6 points per game during the regular season, 9.9 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Best moneyline bet

  • Moneyline: Bills (-150), Chiefs (+125)
  • Prediction:
    Buffalo 24 – Kansas City 18
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Bills’ implied win probability is 60.0%.
  • Buffalo won 10 of the 14 games when it was the moneyline favorite during the regular season (71.4%), and has gone 1-0 in the playoffs.
  • In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -150 or shorter in the regular season and playoffs, the Bills have gone 9-3 (75%).
  • Kansas City won the only game it played as the underdog during the regular season.
  • The Chiefs have been underdogs of +125 or more once, including the regular season and playoffs, and they won that game.

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