It’s been months since I’ve carved out time in my schedule to watch NFL football but, of course, I’ll be tuning in to the big game on Sunday and betting my fair share of novelty bets and cross-sport props. NHL-related Super Bowl prop bets aren’t as widespread as those connected to the NBA, but there are some good bets to be made. Here are a couple of my favorites that involve the Vegas Golden Knights:
Golden Knights Shots on Goal (-11.5, -110) vs. Kansas City Chiefs Points
Vegas might not be the hockey power it once was, but Anaheim is arguably the worst defensive team in the NHL and the Ducks are especially bad on the road. They have allowed at least 38 shots on goal in 21 of their 28 road games and have allowed 40-plus shots in 16 games, or 57 percent of the time.
Vegas has generated only 39-plus shots seven times this season, and you’d have to go back 11 home games to find the last time they registered more than 40 shots, but it doesn’t seem to matter who the Ducks play. Anaheim has given up at least 39 shots in 13 of their last 16 road games and their opponents have registered 40-plus shots per game on average since Dec. 1.
To handicap the football portion of this bet, I referenced the Chiefs’ team total, talked to a handful of my sharp football friends and concluded that 25 points is a reasonable projection for Kansas City. In other words, if the Ducks allow 40-plus shots on average, as they typically do, there’s potential for the margin to be much more than 11.5 if the Chiefs are held to 25 points or fewer.