Another NBA Wednesday night ahead of us and we have 11 games to sort through. The marquee matchup of the day is Bucks vs Cavaliers in what could be playoff foreshadowing, while there are smaller storylines throughout the slate. Jabari Smith squares off against Paolo Banchero in battle of #1 and #2 overall picks. Luka Doncic and Jason Kidd get to run it back after being ejected last night against the Timberwolves. And the injury riddled Warriors are on a back-to-back against the hottest team in the league right now, the Brooklyn Nets. Currently picking 61% on the NBA season so far for +10 U, so let's keep this focus going.
Check out all of our NBA picks for today
Joel Embiid (PHI) over 10.5 rebounds (+115)
The 76ers get the Pistons on a back-to-back at home and it could become ugly. The spread is currently at +11.5. Detroit is 4-3 ATS with no rest, so it may be wise to take the points, but I'm going to use that baseline for this rebounds prop and assume the game will be competitive. Embiid has hit this in 4 of his last 5 game (one in OT) and faces one of the worst rebounding teams in the league. Detroit over the L7 games allows the 6th most RPG to opposing Centers and 5th most RPG overall on the road. The Pistons are shooting the 2nd worst Two Point FG% on the road, giving Embiid a lot of opportunities to hit this mark. Jalen Duren has been playing lights out since becoming a starter on December 9th, but after looking through the matchups more closely, he has yet to run into a dominant Center of Embiid's caliber. The closest he's seen to player of Embiid size is Steven Adams and while I respect the Big Kiwi, this is night and d ay. I expect Duren to get his welcome to the NBA moment tonight and Embiid to see 11+ rebounds. 1U