As Kevin Durant makes his Phoenix Suns debut against the Charlotte Hornets, what player props should we attack? Jon Metler shares three of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Wednesday's games using the latest NBA odds.
It's finally time for Durant to make his Phoenix Suns debut! While bettors attempt to figure out how to approach this game, the market for Suns player props is all over the place.
The good news is that I woke up early to spend a couple of extra hours tracking the movements, and I've discovered some bets I really like in the Suns game.
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Wednesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Wednesday's NBA SGP picks
| Game | Props | Combined Odds |
| Suns-Hornets | Paul 10+ assists, Durant Over 3.5 assists | +300 |
| Cavaliers-Celtics | Garland Over 6.5 assists, Allen Under 14.5 points | +259 |
| Pelicans-Trail Blazers | Lillard Over 7.5 assists, Ingram Under 5.5 rebounds | +246 |
| Total |
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Cavaliers vs. Celtics odds
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NBA SGP predictions: Suns vs. Hornets
Paul only scores if he has to, and with Durant making his debut, I think Paul will be looking to set everyone else up. The alternate total of 10+ assists is based on the theory that Paul either drops tons of dimes or sits out the fourth quarter because it's a blowout. There's no reason to be conservative and just lay -130 over 8.5 assists. This bet shows a slight edge, but if you're looking for an even higher +EV wager, I suggest you straight bet this prop at DraftKings (+155).
I anticipate that Durant might overpass the ball a little bit as he tries to integrate with his new teammates. Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic displayed this same characteristic in their first couple of games together. There will be a restriction on Durant's playing time, but that has been taken into consideration. This prop should still trade closer to -150 than -120 because Durant is projected to drop 4.3 dimes.
NBA SGP predictions: Cavaliers vs. Celtics
I've also placed a straight bet on Garland Over 6.5 assists (+106) through Caesars since it's one of my favorite bets on the board for Wednesday. Garland has moved from plus money to minus money at DraftKings and PointsBet since the line opened. The projection for Garland against the Celtics is 7.3 assists, which means this prop should trade closer to -135.
The majority of Allen's points come from defensive breakdowns and hustle plays, and those opportunities are limited when facing a defense like the Celtics. My hope is that he will catch a few alley-oops from Garland, but I don't see him exceeding this total. Allen is projected to score 13.8 points against the Celtics, which allows us to price the U14.5 at -140.
NBA SGP predictions: Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers
Lillard has typically traded with a total of 8.5 assists in recent games, but has gone under this total seven times in his last nine games. An adjustment has been made to his assists prop, allowing us to place a bet. Lillard is projected to drop 8.4 dimes against the Pelicans, which isn't great when the total is 8.5 – but at 7.5, we have something to work with. The Over on this prop should be trading at -145 instead of -122 based on this projection.
With Ingram, we're chasing steam, as some sportsbooks have moved the Under on his total of 5.5 rebounds by as much as 25 cents. FanDuel doesn't offer the best price for this prop, as you can find a +115 at DraftKings, but we still see an edge at this price point. This prop can be priced at -120, as Ingram is projected to grab 5.4 boards.
NBA player prop picks made 03/01/2023 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
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