Is Devin Booker capable of leading the Suns to victory over the Golden State Warriors on Monday? Jon Metler shares three of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Monday's games using the latest NBA odds.
It was a terrifying bet to place on Saturday night when we went Under Devin Booker's points total, but we ended up winning our Kings-Suns same-game parlay.
Cheering for Booker to miss every single shot was the sweatiest sweat of all sweats, which is why I have signed up for the same kind of torture on Monday.
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Monday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Monday's NBA SGP picks
| Game | Props | Combined Odds |
| Timberwolves-Hawks | Conley Over 6.5 assists, Edwards 30+ points | +378 |
| Celtics-Rockets | Brown Over 25.5 points, Porter Over 16.5 points | +247 |
| Suns-Warriors | Booker Under 31.5 points, Thompson Over 3.5 rebounds | +226 |
Check out our parlay calculator here!
Suns vs. Warriors odds
Check out our complete list of NBA odds here!
NBA SGP predictions: Timberwolves vs. Hawks
I was in the middle of writing about why we should bet Conley Over 6.5 assists at +122 when FanDuel adjusted their odds from 6.5 (+122) to 5.5 (-132). Win some because the Over 6.5 assists are trading at +136 now, but you'll have to visit Conley's alternate assists in order to find them.
We should not be getting a price like +136 on the Over 6.5 assists, as Conley is projected to drop 7.1 dimes against the Hawks. Over 5.5 assists at -132 is also a great bet, however our expected value jumps from 20% to 29% when we attack the alternate line of Over 6.5 assists at +136. < /p>
With this Timberwolves-Hawks same-game parlay, we're swinging for the fences, with two alternate Overs, but both bets are fully justified and increase our edge.
Edwards is projected to score 29.6 points against the Hawks on Monday, which is considerably higher than his FanDuel total of 27.5 points. The kicker is that our expected value increases from 4% to 7% based on this projection if we bet on the 30-plus points prop at +120 instead of the Over 27.5 prop at -118.
NBA SGP predictions: Celtics vs. Rockets
There's a possibility that this bet could be on blowout alert and Brown might end up sitting out the fourth quarter, however, I don't anticipate a blowout, which is why I've included the Rockets +13 as one of my NBA best bets for Monday.
As Brown is projected to score 26.7 points against the Ro ckets, we can price the Over 25.5 points at -118 instead of the -110 we're seeing from FanDuel. You're dealing with a small edge here, so be cautious not to make this parlay at a sportsbook that has Brown trading at -120 for Over 25.5 points, such as DraftKings.
For this same-game parlay to cash, along with my Rockets +13 wager to get a green check mark against the Celtics, I need this prop to hit. This prop should be priced at -110 according to Porter's projections, which suggests he'll score 17.2 points, but there's something else that draws me to this bet.
I'm attracted to this prop based on following the market throughout the day and seeing steam on the Over for Porter, with no buyback, despite the projection just being slightly over. In my opinion, this indicates that our projection might be conservative when compared to others and that you should bet on the Over.
NBA SGP predictions: Suns vs. Warriors
This is an excellent price we're receiving at FanDuel, since they're essentially giving us an additional point for free compared to other prices we're seeing on Booker. The Under on Booker's points prop is trading at 30.5 (-125) at Caesars, which is one point less and has higher juice.
Booker is projected to score 30.2 points, so we really have no edge if the best price was the Under 30.5 (-125) at Caesars, which fortunately is not the case. We can attack this Under 31.5 at FanDuel at -122 which should be trading at –135 based on our projection.
I recently watched a Warriors broadcast during which it was discussed how Thompson is emphasizing rebounding more. I hope he still feels that way on Monday against the Suns.
With Thompson projected to grab 4.2 reboun ds against the Suns, we can price the Over 3.5 rebounds at -140.
NBA player prop picks made 03/13/2023 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
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