For the last 15 months I have shared my sports betting tips and plays on my Twitter page @shou_in. I am incredibly thankful for the platform Pickswise has now allowed me. I update my record in my Twitter bio daily and am more than willing to answer any questions or provide help through direct messaging.
Read below to see the props I am eyeing up on Monday’s MLB slate.
Texas Rangers first 5 innings team total over 1.5 (-120) (0.5U)
Trevor Rogers is someone I have picked on this season as his location issues have presented the left-hander with problems. The former first-round pick typically sees his outing depending on the success he has in locating his changeup. His changeup has gone from being his best pitch in his 2021 breakout season to an area of concern this season. When looking at the heat map from those seasons on that pitch, it is clear the command isn’t at his 2021 form and opponents have a 9.3% lower whiff rate on that pitch as a result. He is also allowing a .251 xBA on his changeup this season compared to his .213 mark last year. Not only is the changeup not as effective, but his fastball is taking the brunt of the punishment. Hitters are sitting on his high fastballs and absolutely crushing them. His 4-seam fastball this season has a .295 xBA and .524 xSLG while throwing that pitch 52.3% of the time.