It’s another busy day in baseball with plenty of action throughout the day, including a doubleheader between the Nationals and White Sox in the South Side of Chicago. I’ve found two edges in the prop market for tonight and both are priced at a more-than-reasonable price. Let’s get into it!
Cleveland Guardians Team Total Over 4.5 (-110)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The once promising prospect has become a liability on the mound. Jack Leiter was a stud at Vanderbilt and had sky-high expectations for his professional career. However, Leiter ran into some problems early on. His velocity was no longer blowing hitters away and his slider was being smashed by professional hitters. Leiter spent nearly the entire 2023 season in Double-A and was getting knocked around constantly as he finished with a 2-6 record and a 5.07 ERA. But after a few good starts in Triple-A in April and several injuries to the Rangers starting rotation, Leiter had his shot in the Big Leagues.'
In short, Leiter has been throwing batting practice at the MLB level. He's surrendered 13 runs, 15 hits, and 2 home runs in 7.2 innings. Those 2 starts were against the Tigers and Athletics who rank 15th and 23rd in OPS against right-handed pitching. With a .318 xBA, 15% barrel rate, and nearly 50% hard-hit rate, Leiter is not ready for the bright lights of Major League Baseball. Tonight, he will face a Guardians offense that has scored 7 runs in back-to-back games. Expect the Cleveland lineup to continue mashing Leiter.