While NFL and college football takes center-stage this week, particularly with the Packers vs Eagles game taking place tonight in Brazil, don’t forget about the loaded MLB slate on Friday night with all 30 teams in action! Let’s dive into my best MLB player prop bets for Friday, September 6. Also don’t forget that you can find out our experts’ M LB picks for today’s matchups.
Colorado Rockies Team Total Over 2.5 runs (-140)
Line available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Yes, you read that correctly. I’m backing the woeful Colorado Rockies to score 3 runs tonight against the Milwaukee Brewers — specifically Frankie Montas. Montas has been a fade candidate of mine ever since he made his way to Milwaukee from Cincinnati. At first glance, his 3.82 ERA with the Reds doesn’t look so bad, but on the year, he has a 4.69 xERA – ranking in the 22nd percentile amongst pitchers. His high walk and low strikeout rate was on full display last start, where he allowed 7 hits, 4 earned runs, 3 walks and just 4 strikeouts.
I’m doing a bit of line reading on this game, and Montas’ earned-run prop is sitting at 1.5 at -140 and up to -150 on other books. I would rather pivot to the team total of 2.5 with the better price and guarantee of batting all 9 innings. The Rockies crossed 3 runs across the board yesterday against Reynaldo Lopez – a much better arm than Montas.