Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 16
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 16

The Cincinnati Bengals (6-6) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7) on Dec. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 16 game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 71.9% confidence.


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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tyler Boyd has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.35 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals went 6-6 (-0.65 Units / -4.17% ROI).

  • Bengals are 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 15.79% ROI
  • Bengals are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Bengals are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 7-7 (-0.55 Units / -3.57% ROI).

  • Steelers are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -9% ROI
  • Steelers are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Steelers are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals are 5-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-best in NFL. The Steelers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 12 s this season — 4th-highest in NFL.

The Bengals are 2-1 (.667) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .305.

The Bengals are 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .373.

The Bengals are 3-2 (.600) when playing in cold weather this season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers are winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .343.

The Steelers are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-7th-worst in NFL. The Bengals have intercepted 15 passes this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

The Steelers are 6-2 (.750) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Steelers are 4-2 (.667) after a loss this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .485.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

  
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