Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11
Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

The Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Pittsburgh.

The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Bengals vs. Steelers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 11 game with 71.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread this Week 11 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 9 away games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.65 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 6-3 (+2.55 Units / 25.25% ROI).

  • Bengals are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -19.86% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -25.63% ROI
  • Bengals are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.06% ROI).

  • Steelers are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 6.15% ROI
  • Steelers are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Bengals are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Bengals are winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Bengals are 6-3 (.667) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .262.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Steelers are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

  
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