The Cincinnati Bengals (0-1-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (1-0-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this game with 68.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Trenton Irwin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jake Browning has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rashee Rice has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Skyy Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rashee Rice has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bengals went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -100% ROI
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bengals are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chiefs went 1-0 (+1 Units / 95.24% ROI).
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 68.97% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Bengals were 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
The Bengals were 6-3 (.667) at home last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Bengals were 3-4 (.429) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Bengals were 2-4 (.333) vs top 10 defenses last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Chiefs were 7-1 (.875) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed 248.2 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 18-3 (.857) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 235.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were 8-4 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .281.
The Chiefs are 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .263.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 56.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed successful plays on 57.0% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.