The Cincinnati Bengals (6-7) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (7-7) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Kansas City, MO.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 44.4 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 17 game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.
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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tyler Boyd has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals went 6-7 (-1.65 Units / -9.94% ROI).
- Bengals are 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 7.69% ROI
- Bengals are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Bengals are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs went 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.22% ROI).
- Chiefs are 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -14.97% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Chiefs are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .645.
The Bengals are 5-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Bengals are 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .387.
The Bengals were undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Chiefs are 17-3 (.850) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 241.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are undefeated (3-0) when not throwing an interception this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .656.
The Chiefs are 14-6 (.700) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .301.
The Chiefs are 2-2 (.500) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .400.