The Chicago Bears (2-2) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (3-1) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Bears vs. Vikings Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 5 game with 71.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 5 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Byron Pringle has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 away games (+4.65 Units / 91% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jalen Reagor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 93% ROI)
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Bears Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Chicago Bears have scored last in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Vikings Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 1-2 (-1.3 Units / -28.89% ROI).
- Bears are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 26.88% ROI
- Bears are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Bears are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 1-3 (-2.4 Units / -53.33% ROI).
- Vikings are 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 27.97% ROI
- Vikings are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Vikings are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Bears are winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.
The Bears are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .282.
The Bears are 3-13 (.188) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 136.9 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.