The Chicago Bears (1-0-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (1-0-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Houston, TX.
The Texans are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The Bears vs. Texans Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Texans vs Bears & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bears vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this game with 68.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texans vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Stefon Diggs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+5.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bears went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Bears are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 50% ROI
- Bears are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bears are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Texans went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texans are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 62.5% ROI
- Texans are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Texans are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Bears were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Bears were 2-7 (.222) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Bears were 2-5 (.286) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bears were 3-6 (.333) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .465.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Texans were 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — 9th-best in NFL. The Bears averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Texans were winless (0-5) vs top 10 defenses last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Texans are winless (0-9) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Texans are 2-11 (.154) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans
The Texans ran successful plays on just 25.4% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL. The Bears allowed successful plays on just 34.0% of rush attempts with a stacked front last season — 3rd-best in NFL.