The Chicago Bears (3-8) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (6-4) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford.
The Jets are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Bears vs. Jets Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Jets Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this Week 12 game with 74.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread this Week 12 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Bears Best Bets for Week 12:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Jets Best Bets for Week 12:
- The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.30 Units / 111% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored last in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 4-6 (-2.7 Units / -22.13% ROI).
- Bears are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -16.8% ROI
- Bears are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Bears are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 6-4 (+1.55 Units / 14.03% ROI).
- Jets are 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 90.29% ROI
- Jets are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.75 Units / -42.99% ROI
- Jets are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Bears are 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .775.
The Bears are 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Bears are 4-18 (.182) when underdogs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Bears are 1-5 (.167) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 1.4 sacks per game over that time span — second-worst in NFL.
The Jets are 4-8 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .729.