The Chicago Bears (2-1) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-1) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Giants are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Bears vs. Giants Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Giants Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Giants will win this Week 4 game with 65.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 4 with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Byron Pringle has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.65 Units / 88% ROI)
- Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kadarius Toney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Bears Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Chicago Bears have scored last in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Giants Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
- Bears are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 61.64% ROI
- Bears are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Bears are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Giants are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 53.03% ROI
- Giants are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
- Giants are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Bears are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .385.
The Bears were winless (0-7) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
The Bears are 2-6 (.250) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .380.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Giants were 1-6-1 (.125) vs top 10 run defenses last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Giants are 1-7 (.125) since Week 11 — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.