The Baylor Bears (4-3) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-3) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Lubbock.
Texas Tech are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Over/Under for Baylor vs. Texas Tech is 62.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas Tech vs Baylor & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 51.0% confidence.
Baylor vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Baylor Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.60 Units / 106% ROI)
- R.J. Sneed II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- R.J. Sneed II has hit the Receptions Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Henry Colombi has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Gerry Bohanon has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+10.00 Units / 130% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.64 Units / 56% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor has gone 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Baylor is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -19.55% ROI
- Baylor is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Baylor is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech has gone 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 32.84% ROI
- Texas Tech is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Baylor is 10-2 (.625) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420
Baylor is 11-4 (.579) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439
Baylor is 11-2 (.733) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373
Baylor is 7-2 (.583) when passing for more than 200 yards — 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .400
Texas Tech is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414
Texas Tech is 1-9 (.071) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .356
Texas Tech is 2-12 (.105) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361
Texas Tech is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .399
Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,361 passing yards in 6 games (393.5 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 231.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.