The Baylor Bears (6-5) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (7-4) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Austin.
Texas are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Baylor vs. Texas Over/Under is 56 total points.
Bet now on Texas vs Baylor & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Baylor vs Texas Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 61.8% confidence.
Baylor vs Texas Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 69.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Baylor Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ben Sims has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Baylor is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -13.16% ROI
- Baylor is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Baylor is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 14.09% ROI).
- Texas is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -14.29% ROI
- Texas is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Texas is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Baylor is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .560
Baylor is 14-4 (.636) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429
Baylor is 16-4 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .495
Baylor is 12-4 (.600) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .473
#24 Texas is 7-1 (.875) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .504
#24 Texas is 1-5 (.167) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .331
#24 Texas is 4-8 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
#24 Texas is 5-1 (.625) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429
Texas’s RBs has gained 522 yards on 42 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS RBs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.