The Ball State Cardinals (1-4) visit Dix Stadium to take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (0-5) on Oct. 12 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Ball State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Kent State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Ball State vs Kent State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and Kent State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Kent State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Kent State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ball State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ball State Player Prop Bets Today
- Qian Magwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kent State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball State is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ball State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -28.57% ROI
- Ball State is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 91.95% ROI
- Ball State is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -100% ROI
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent State is 0-5 against the spread this college football season (-5.5 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kent State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Kent State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.81% ROI
- Kent State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -25% ROI
Ball State is 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Ball State is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Ball State is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Ball State is 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .387
Kent State is 1-14 (.067) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Kent State is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
Kent State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Kent State is winless (0-13) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 804 passing yards in 5 games (just 160.8 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 301.4 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s offense has thrown for 804 passing yards in 5 games (just 160.8 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 301.4 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.