The Colorado Avalanche travel to Dallas for Wednesday's Game 5 against the Dallas Stars and need a win to stay alive in the Stanley Cup playoffs, as we offer our Avalanche vs. Stars predictions and props based on the best NHL odds.
In the wake of the news regarding Valeri Nichushkin, who has been suspended for six months without pay after being placed into Stage 3 of the NHL/NHLPA Player Assistance Program, the Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7) were flatter than the prairies in Game 4, losing 5-1.
Down 3-1 in the series, the Avalanche face elimination in Wednesday's Game 5, which takes place at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The puck drops at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Dallas Stars (52-21-9) won both contests in Colorado, outscoring the Avalanche by a combined score of 9-2. They are the consensus favorites across our best sports betting site s to wrap up the series on Wednesday and currently have the second-shortest Stanley Cup odds.
Here are our best Avalanche vs. Stars predictions and NHL picks (odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Avalanche vs. Stars Game 5 expert picks
- Miro Heiskanen Over 2.5 shots (+122 via FanDuel) ????
- Tyler Seguin Over 0.5 points (-105 via DraftKings) ????
- Under 6.5 goals (-120 via bet365) ???
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Avalanche vs. Stars predictions for Wednesday
If you didn't already know, Heiskanen is a stud who will almost assuredly be a part of the Norris Trophy conversation in years to come. The 2 4-year-old is an elite puck-moving defenseman who knows precisely when to jump into the play.
He's also the Stars' most dangerous pivot on the power play. Heiskanen has at least three shots in eight of 11 playoff contests, including three of four against the Avalanche.
He's averaging 2.64 shots per game in the playoffs and has three goals in four games versus the Avalanche. Hitting the Over in six of the last seven games is only part of this prop bet's allure. The other appealing aspect is the +122 odds offered by FanDuel, which has an implied probability of 45.05%. A winning $10 wager pays a profit of $12.20.
Best odds: +122 via FanDuel
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Seguin doesn't just dial back the clock against the Avalanche; he also grows a foot taller and seemingly packs on about 20 pounds of muscle.
He has been an absolute beast against Colorado, scoring nine goals in his last seven games, including three in this series. He has at least one point in three of the four games and 10 points in the previous seven contests against the Central Division foes.
At -105, DraftKings has the best value. The -105 odds imply a probability of 51.22%, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $9.52 if the wager hits.
Best odds: -105 via DraftKings
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Backing the Under in games involving the high-octane Avalanche is never a decision taken lightly. However, the Stars have found their defensive groove in this series, allowing only two goals in Colorado for Games 3 and 4.
Aside from Game 1 against the Avs, the Stars haven't allowed more than three goals since Game 1 against the Vegas Golden Knights. In addition, the Avalanche lost Nichushkin prior to Game 4. Nichushkin had nine goals, tied with Zach Hyman atop the goal-scoring chart.
There's no question the Avs will try to band together in his absence and rebound after a woeful Game 4 performance. However, the Stars, particularly in a potential series-clinching game, should be able to go into their effective lockdown mode and prevent Colorado from exploding offensively.
Best odds: -120 via bet365
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Avalanche vs. Stars Game 5 info & odds
- When: Wednesday, May 15
- Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas
- How to watch: ESPN, Sportsnet
- Favorite: Stars (-140 via FanDuel)
Avalanche-Stars predictions made Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET.
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