Auburn vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4
Auburn vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

The Auburn Tigers (3-0) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in College Station.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Auburn vs Texas A&M Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 73.6% confidence.

Auburn vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 79.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)

  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+4.20 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)

Best Auburn Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robby Ashford has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ja’Varrius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Robby Ashford has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Stewart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Donovan Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Conner Weigman has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Auburn is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • Auburn is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Auburn is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.08% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Auburn is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438

Auburn is winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .443

Auburn was 1-3 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Auburn is winless (0-3) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457

Texas A&M is winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .269

Texas A&M is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415

Texas A&M is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .400

Texas A&M was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 104 yards on 12 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 104 yards on 12 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — seventh-best among FBS defenses.

  
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