The Auburn Tigers (3-5) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Starkville.
Mississippi State are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Auburn vs. Mississippi State is 51.5 total points.
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Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 65.9% confidence.
Auburn vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+2.77 Units / 13% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 63% ROI)
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn has gone 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Auburn is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -6.59% ROI
- Auburn is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Auburn is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State has gone 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 7.09% ROI
- Mississippi State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Mississippi State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Auburn is 3-8 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Auburn is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521
Auburn is 2-6 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464
Auburn is 2-9 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413
#24 Mississippi State is 6-4 (.600) when not losing a fumble — tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
#24 Mississippi State is undefeated (2-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .441
#24 Mississippi State is 3-1 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444
#23 Mississippi State is 1-4 (.143) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386
Auburn’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — tied for second-best among SEC defenses.