Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 10
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 10

The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Athletics are 34-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 43-47 ATS.

Athletics vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 5-7, 4.76 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-5, 4.07 ERA

Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.35 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 90 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 46-47 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.14% ROI).

  • 34-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -12.6% ROI
  • 41-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -12.92% ROI
  • 49-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 3.06% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 43-47 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.99% ROI).

  • 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 5.71% ROI
  • 44-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.51% ROI
  • 41-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -7.24% ROI

Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Romy Gonzalez (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Rob Refsnyder (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pivetta (BOS) 6.5 -135 6.5 +105
JP Sears (OAK) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 16% (17 SO in 105 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has struck out just 15% (48/318) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 17% (68 SO in 408 PAs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 15% (24 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Nick Pivetta this month (1 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Nick Pivetta over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 43% (10 SO in 23 PAs) this month (1 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 38% (36 SO in 96 PAs) in late innings since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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