The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-275) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 56-101 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 81-75 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• Sean Murphy has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.65 Units / 51% ROI)
• Conner Capel has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.80 Units / 123% ROI)
• Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• Vimael Machin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 45 of his last 63 games at home (+13.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 away games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 away games (+8.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games at home (+20.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 88 games (+15.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+6.77 Units / 19% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 76-81 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -9.64% ROI).

• 56-101 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -11.73% ROI
• 71-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -9.98% ROI
• 80-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 1.37% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 81-75 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -2.52% ROI).

• 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 2.61% ROI
• 71-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -7.83% ROI
• 78-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.29% ROI

John Patrick Sears: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

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Luis Castillo: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

58% of Luis Castillo’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to September 2nd — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 7.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 47% (59 SO in 125 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .101 (11-for-109) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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