The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Athletics are 64-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-73 ATS.

Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 7-9, 4.46 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 14-6, 2.97 ERA

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Athletics vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

• Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+20.90 Units / 91% ROI)
• Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 22 games (+20.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+17.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 48 games (+38.00 Units / 79% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.35 Units / 50% ROI)

Athletics Best Bets Today:

• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 away games (+5.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+17.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 87 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 80-66 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.1% ROI).

• 64-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 1.73% ROI
• 68-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -9.46% ROI
• 75-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -0.22% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-73 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 1.19% ROI).

• 77-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -6.17% ROI
• 59-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -19.2% ROI
• 82-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.6 Units / 10.31% ROI

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 61% of the time (182/299) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 61% of the time (182/299) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (147/299) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .562 (9-for-16) against Mitch Spence versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .556 (782 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .283 (199 Total Bases / 703 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (252/414) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (273/632) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
Read Full Article