Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 11
Athletics vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 11

The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Athletics are 63-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-72 ATS.

Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 6-7, 4.50 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-7, 3.44 ERA

Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 away games (+21.90 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 21 games (+19.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+18.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 47 games (+39.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+16.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+15.05 Units / 65% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 102 games (+6.50 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 127 games (+18.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 86 games (+16.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 79-66 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -0.63% ROI).

  • 63-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.43% ROI
  • 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -10.15% ROI
  • 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.5% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-72 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 1.89% ROI).

  • 77-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -5.11% ROI
  • 58-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -19.97% ROI
  • 82-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.75 Units / 11.1% ROI

Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +180 0.5 -225
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Estes (OAK) 3.5 -105 3.5 -125
Hunter Brown (HOU) 7.5 +125 7.5 -160

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (80/343) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (34/162) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (46/181) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (41/148) against Joey Estes in two-strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .117 (38-for-324) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (60/208) against Hunter Brown on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 15th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (10th highest among qualified SPs)– 82nd Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.8 MPH (417 batted balls) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 98th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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