The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Athletics are 19-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 16-26 ATS.
Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Aaron Brooks 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 2-1, 3.68 ERA
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+16.10 Units / 101% ROI)
- Max Schuemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 away games (+13.50 Units / 123% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+21.75 Units / 145% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 24-20 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 4.45% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -9.62% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 16-26 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -19.9% ROI).
- 17-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -25.64% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -21.83% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 13.72% ROI
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Esteury Ruiz (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Aaron Brooks (OAK) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -185 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (725/1,181) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (161 Total Bases / 539 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (55/87) against Framber Valdez this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (811/1,710) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.