Athletics vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 28
Athletics vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 28

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-185) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Athletics vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 56-98 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 71-83 ATS.

Athletics vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 away games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Conner Capel has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+8.30 Units / 166% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 38 games at home (+28.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games at home (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.35 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 53% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 75-79 against the Run Line (-17.9 Units / -9.14% ROI).

  • 56-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -10.08% ROI
  • 71-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 77-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.39% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 71-83 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -10.71% ROI).

  • 68-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.1 Units / -15.28% ROI
  • 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.16% ROI
  • 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -1.93% ROI

Adrian Martinez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to September 10th — the longest active streak is 6.

Right-handed batters are hitting .383 (18-for-47) against Adrian Martinez this month (4 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .251 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (3/17) against Adrian Martinez against right-handed batters — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Adrian Martinez versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (4 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (50/254) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 57% (183/323) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Michael Lorenzen this season is 388.1 feet — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Michael Lorenzen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (22/47) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

  
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