We're looking at whether Houston can avoid the three-game sweep in New York as we offer our top Astros vs. Yankees player props and expert picks based on the best MLB odds.
What more is there to say about the 2024 Houston Astros that hasn't already been said? They are in last – no longer ahead of the Los Angeles Angels – in the AL West yet somehow are still trading among the contenders by the World Series odds. This is a team that had a preseason projected win total of roughly 93, and it now sits 12-24 in the second week of May.
Meanwhile, the New York Yankees have seemingly fixed the issues from their underwhelming 2023 season, and a lot of that is thanks to MLB MVP odds favorite Juan Soto. However, the Yankees' pitching has also been brilliant, and they're looking like real World Series front-runners in the American League as the rest of the lineup heats up.< /p>
First pitch for this series finale is set for 5:05 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium, and New York is a -135 home favorite.
Can the Yankees continue to embarrass the perennially competitive Astros with a three-game sweep at home, or can Houston steal one in the Big Apple before it heads to Detroit?
Here are our best Astros vs. Yankees player props and MLB picks (odds via our
best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Astros vs. Yankees player props
- Aaron Judge Under 1.5 total bases (-125 via bet365) ???
- Giancarlo Stanton Under 1.5 total bases (+130 via bet365) ???
- Jose Altuve to hit a home run (+830 via FanDuel) ??
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Astros vs. Yankees expert picks
Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is heating up after starting the season extremely slow. He's hitting an absurd .326 with four home runs during the last two weeks, and he's vaulted himself back into the AL MVP conversation after sliding down the oddsboard.
However, Judge's projections on Thursday suggest he's due for a bit o f a slow day at the office after annihilating the Astros in Wednesday's 9-4 win.
Based on Judge's projections, we're getting roughly 17% positive expected value through these -125 odds on his Under 1.5 total bases prop, offered at both bet365 and Caesars.
Meanwhile, Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, prices Judge's Under 1.5 total bases prop at -131 after opening at -122. That tells us that sharp money aligns with our trusted projections.
Best odds: -125 via bet365
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Much like Judge, Giancarlo Stanton has also been crushing the baseball lately. And when I say crushing the baseball, I mean really crushing it:
Stanton's blast served as the hardest hit ball by any player this season, one-upping Shohei Ohtani's 119.2-mph missile. However, also much like Judge, Stanton's projections Thursday suggest he won't repeat that feat.
Based on his projections, we're getting roughly 22.5% +EV on this bet through these +130 odds. Meanwhile, our other best sports betting sites have this Under priced around +125, and Pinnacle is at +126 after opening at +134.
Best odds: +130 via bet365
I don't love offering home run props, but when the value is this good, who am I to say no?
A Jose Altuve long ball is trading at around +600 at all of our other best sports betting apps, while FanDuel is hanging a rogue price of +830. For its part, Pinnacle is at +628.
Based on Altuve's home run projection on Thursday, we're getting an absurd 65% +EV on this bet. Now, I think you should still limit yourself to a half- or quarter-unit on bets such as these, especially when you consider a $5 wager would return $41.50 in profit if Altuve leaves the yard.
That's why I've made this a two-star pick, despite the fact that it's actually a very strong +EV play on a rogue line.
Best odds: +830 via FanDuel
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Astros vs. Yankees game info & odds
- When: Thursday, May 9
- First pitch: 5:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium, New York
- How to watch: Space City Home Network, YES Network
- Favorite: Yankees (-135 via Betway)
Astros vs. Yankees player props made Thursday at 8 a.m. ET.
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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