The Houston Astros (-155) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 75-43 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 53-64 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 74 games (+25.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 76 games (+21.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 45 of his last 59 games at home (+17.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.30 Units / 52% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 105 games (+24.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 116 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 62 games (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 102 games (+9.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+14.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games at home (+7.85 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-57 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4% ROI).
- 75-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 2.42% ROI
- 44-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -23.58% ROI
- 69-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 15.56% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 53-64 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -8.26% ROI).
- 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.54% ROI
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (266/392) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (223/324) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (89/128) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (450/648) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has walked 16 of 81 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has struck out 41% (14/34) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .139 (10-for-72) against Michael Kopech on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (27/173) against Michael Kopech this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.