The Houston Astros (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 75-41 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-64 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 49 of his last 72 games (+23.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 74 games (+19.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 43 of his last 57 games at home (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 103 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 114 games (+19.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 100 games (+11.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+11.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 115 games (+15.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.85 Units / 116% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 48 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-55 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 5.54% ROI).
- 75-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 44-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.35 Units / -23.15% ROI
- 68-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 15.06% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-64 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -9.91% ROI).
- 59-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -6.95% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.34% ROI
Jose Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (94 SO in 277 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (20-for-50) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 16th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (51/208) against Jose Urquidy with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (72/385) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Johnny Cueto this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Johnny Cueto — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (330/651) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (76/480) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.