The Houston Astros (-115) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-105) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Astros are 14-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 19-20 ATS.

Astros vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 1-1, 4.50 ERA
• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-2, 3.92 ERA

Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 38 games (+19.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+18.65 Units / 155% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+19.40 Units / 121% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 50% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 99 games (+12.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 14-25 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -24.16% ROI).

• 14-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -33.68% ROI
• 14-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -25.5% ROI
• 23-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 17.36% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 19-20 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -3.99% ROI).

• 20-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.68% ROI
• 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -1.41% ROI
• 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -7.61% ROI

Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 15% (3/20) against Justin Verlander — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .246 (690 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of .400 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — second Percentile.

Justin Verlander has a strikeout rate of just 16% (4 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (28/58) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .328 (20-for-61) against Jack Flaherty when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .220 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (28/58) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (116/314) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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