The Houston Astros (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Astros are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 6-4 ATS.

Astros vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 1-0, 0.00 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-1, 1.46 ERA

Astros vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 105% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
• Victor Caratini has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+6.50 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
• Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
• Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-7 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -15.88% ROI).

• 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -35.54% ROI
• 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -39.26% ROI
• 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 30.17% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 6-4 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 8.3% ROI).

• 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 18.11% ROI
• 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -33.19% ROI
• 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 28.71% ROI

Royals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-22) against Cristian Javier this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-22) against Cristian Javier this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 22 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (29 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .298 (116 Total Bases / 389 ABs) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 99th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 57% (16 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (32/91) against Cole Ragans this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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