The Houston Astros (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Astros are 75-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 76-62 ATS.

Astros vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-4, 4.19 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Julian Aguiar 1-0, 6.43 ERA

Astros vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+48.90 Units / 196% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+16.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+24.00 Units / 171% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+20.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 120 games (+20.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.35 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+11.10 Units / 51% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games at home (+16.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 120 games (+11.30 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games at home (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 47 games at home (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 70-67 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 3.39% ROI).

• 75-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -2.38% ROI
• 54-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.1 Units / -21.46% ROI
• 79-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.2 Units / 12.62% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 76-62 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 4.08% ROI).

• 65-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -6.88% ROI
• 65-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -4.85% ROI
• 65-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -4.53% ROI

Reds vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/198) against Justin Verlander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .246 (778 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .227 (22-for-97) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 (19 GB hits out of 54 GBs) against Justin Verlander this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Julian Aguiar when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last three starts — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .210 — eighth Percentile.

Julian Aguiar has allowed an OPS of .970 (63 PA’s) in his last three starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .664 — fourth Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .500 against Julian Aguiar in his last three starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.

43% of Julian Aguiar’s strikeouts are looking in his last three starts — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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