The Houston Astros (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Astros vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 96-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-73 ATS.

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.55 Units / 59% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games at home (+18.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
• Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• Harold Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)

Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 66 away games (+24.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 away games (+11.60 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 78-68 against the Run Line (+10.25 Units / 5.9% ROI).

• 96-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.8 Units / 5.31% ROI
• 51-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.2 Units / -26.39% ROI
• 86-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.5 Units / 18.23% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-73 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -2.31% ROI).

• 79-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -2.6% ROI
• 64-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -8.27% ROI
• 72-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.15% ROI

Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 79% of the time (1,338/1,689) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Lance McCullers’ pitches in the zone (946/1,606) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (855/2,417) against Lance McCullers in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 77% of the time (1,652/2,150) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corey Kluber has walked 18 of 620 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has not walked a batter in his last 31.0 innings pitched — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 36.0.

Corey Kluber has walked 10 of 331 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (166/465) against Corey Kluber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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