Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 14
Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 14

The Houston Astros (-120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Astros are 64-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 59-60 ATS.

Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 3.03 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 5-8, 4.14 ERA

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+36.00 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+17.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Walks Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 41 games (+17.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+15.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 102 games (+17.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 80 games (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 72 of their last 116 games (+24.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 110 games (+15.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 60-59 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.64% ROI).

  • 64-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -3.98% ROI
  • 47-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.2 Units / -21.68% ROI
  • 69-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.05 Units / 12.92% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 59-60 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -4.14% ROI).

  • 59-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -7.52% ROI
  • 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -10.41% ROI
  • 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 2.25% ROI

Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +220 0.5 -275
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Christopher Morel (TB) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jonathan Singleton (HOU) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Littell (TB) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Ronel Blanco (HOU) 6.5 +105 6.5 -140

Ronel Blanco has walked 25 of 199 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (8-for-52) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .123 (9-for-73) against Ronel Blanco’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .145 (33-for-228) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

13 of Zack Littell’s 36 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (41/142) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 5 of 205 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .306 (59-for-193) against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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