Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 13
Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 13

The Houston Astros (-135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Astros are 63-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 58-60 ATS.

Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 5-9, 4.64 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 4.30 ERA

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 31 games (+28.60 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 45 games (+21.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 101 games (+16.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 71 of their last 115 games (+23.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 109 games (+14.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 60-58 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 2.34% ROI).

  • 63-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.62% ROI
  • 47-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.1 Units / -21.02% ROI
  • 68-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.05 Units / 12.26% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-60 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -4.81% ROI).

  • 59-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -6.88% ROI
  • 54-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -9.65% ROI
  • 61-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 1.5% ROI

Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Christopher Morel (TB) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100

Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Curtis Mead (TB) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Christopher Morel (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane Baz (TB) 4.5 -110 4.5 -115
Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) 7.5 +115 7.5 -150

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 72% (13 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 72% (13 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 48% (119/250) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 (50 GB hits out of 142 GBs) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Baz has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

Shane Baz has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 71.1.

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Shane Baz when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — eighth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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