The Houston Astros (-140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+115) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 81-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 69-56 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday's matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 39 games (+25.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+18.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 54 of his last 89 games (+16.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 43 of his last 64 games at home (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 117 games (+27.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 74 games (+9.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 66-61 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 4.2% ROI).
- 81-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 2.83% ROI
- 45-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.05 Units / -25.95% ROI
- 75-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.25 Units / 17.91% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-56 against the Run Line (+8.2 Units / 5.06% ROI).
- 55-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -9.96% ROI
- 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 3.07% ROI
- 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -10.56% ROI
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (452/887) since the start of last season – lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% – 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 39% (85/219) of right-handed batters he faced this season – 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 22% – 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (69/266) against Cristian Javier this season – lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 43% – 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (23/106) against Cristian Javier on sliders since the start of last season – 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 42% – second Percentile.
Martin Perez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (222/1,030) against Martin Perez this season – 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% – 14th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 50% (180/357) against Martin Perez this season – 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% – 84th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (837/1,927) against Martin Perez this season – lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% – first Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strike rate of just 63% (1,221/1,927) against right-handed batters this season – 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% – ninth Percentile.