The Houston Astros (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+120) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Astros are 3-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-4 ATS.

Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 0-0, 2.25 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-1, 1.93 ERA

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 105% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.50 Units / 75% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Travis Jankowski has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 3-7 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -28.5% ROI).

• 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -46.44% ROI
• 2-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -51.8% ROI
• 7-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 44.5% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 3.07% ROI).

• 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 29.5% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -13.78% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 6.5% ROI

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (23/32) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (20/26) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (23/32) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Heaney has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to August 29th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 8.

Opponents are hitting just .159 (22-for-138) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 56.0.

Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (306/567) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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