The Houston Astros (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Astros are 70-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 66-66 ATS.

Astros vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 6-11, 4.98 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-5, 6.37 ERA

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+49.90 Units / 208% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+11.30 Units / 71% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 115 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.35 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 56 games at home (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 58 games at home (+15.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 57 games at home (+9.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 66-66 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.55% ROI).

• 70-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -5.13% ROI
• 52-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -32 Units / -22.17% ROI
• 77-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.55 Units / 13.36% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 66-66 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -1.4% ROI).

• 78-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.12% ROI
• 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.24% ROI
• 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1% ROI

Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Spencer Arrighetti in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has struck out 45% (29/64) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has a strikeout rate of 38% (36 SO in 94 PAs) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of .539 (137 Total Bases / 254 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .404 — second Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 180 of Taijuan Walker’s 853 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (81/473) against Taijuan Walker this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .338 (25 GB hits out of 74 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
Read Full Article