The Houston Astros (+100) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-120) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Astros are 81-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 76-75 ATS.

Astros vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-8, 3.61 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 12-9, 3.08 ERA

Astros vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 away games (+29.40 Units / 123% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 47 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 53% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 41 games (+36.50 Units / 89% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 33 games (+19.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 133 games (+18.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 92 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 74 games (+17.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 119 games (+7.47 Units / 5% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 76-74 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 2.24% ROI).

• 81-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -4.53% ROI
• 61-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.88 Units / -19.44% ROI
• 85-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.4 Units / 10.46% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 76-75 against the Run Line (+4.37 Units / 2.35% ROI).

• 86-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 2.81% ROI
• 81-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 4.69% ROI
• 67-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.95 Units / -13.71% ROI

Padres vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .121 (41-for-338) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 94th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .279 (79-for-283) against Hunter Brown this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fifth Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .340 (309 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — third Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.1 MPH (435 batted balls) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 98th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.3 MPH (407 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.

Michael King has a strikeout rate of 34% (88 SO in 261 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.9 MPH since last season (670 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.3 MPH this season (407 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 88.9

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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