The Houston Astros (-190) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+155) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5.
The Astros vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 99-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 93-55 ATS.
Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+12.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 away games (+9.40 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 44 of his last 63 games (+16.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jesus Aguilar has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 139 games (+30.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 81-70 against the Run Line (+11.8 Units / 6.57% ROI).
- 99-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 5.19% ROI
- 53-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.6 Units / -25.75% ROI
- 88-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.15 Units / 17.43% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 93-55 against the Run Line (+27.85 Units / 14.36% ROI).
- 79-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.55 Units / 18.16% ROI
- 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -11.47% ROI
- 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 3.44% ROI
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (109/157) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (283/415) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (339/503) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (230/346) against Framber Valdez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Baumann: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Baumann has limited playing time.