The Houston Astros (-150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Astros vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 99-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 92-55 ATS.
Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 2.5 -190 | 2.5 +130 |
| Jose Urquidy | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 81-69 against the Run Line (+12.8 Units / 7.17% ROI).
- 99-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 53-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.4 Units / -25.21% ROI
- 87-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.15 Units / 16.93% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 92-55 against the Run Line (+26.85 Units / 13.95% ROI).
- 78-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +28.4 Units / 17.56% ROI
- 65-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -10.82% ROI
- 76-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 2.85% ROI
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (176/482) against Jose Urquidy this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (91/262) against Jose Urquidy this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 35% (127 SO in 362 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (124 Total Bases / 226 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — fourth Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 32% (75 SO in 234 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (75/267) against Dean Kremer on non-fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .067 (2 GB hits out of 30 GBs) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 77 of Dean Kremer’s 183 elevated fastballs out of the zone (42%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.